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Can Forex Trading Make You Rich?

 Can Forex Trading Make You Rich? Although our instinctive response to this question is a clear "no," we should qualify this answer. If you're a deep-pocketed hedge fund or an unusually skilled currency trader forex trading can make you rich. But for the average retail trader Forex trading is not a shortcut to wealth but a rocky road to huge losses and potential poverty.

Key Takeaways

• Many retail traders turn to the foreign exchange market in search of quick profits.
• Statistics show that most aspiring forex traders fail and some even lose a lot of money.
• Leverage is a double-edged sword as it can lead to excess profits but it can also lead to huge losses.
• Counterparty risk platform glitches and sudden bursts of volatility also present challenges for potential forex traders.
• Unlike stocks and futures which are traded on exchanges foreign exchange pairs are traded on the over-the-counter market without a central clearing company.

Can You Make Money With Forex

4 Indicator Types Forex Traders Must Know

Unexpected Events

To better understand the dangers of foreign exchange trading consider a relatively recent example. On January 15 2015 the Swiss National Bank dropped the 3-year cap on the Swiss franc against the euro1. As a result the Swiss franc surged 41% against the euro. that day.2

The SNB's surprise move cost hundreds of millions of dollars in losses for countless foreign exchange participants from small retail investors to large banks. Losses in retail trading accounts wipe money from at least three brokerages rendered them insolvent and brought FXCM the largest retail foreign exchange brokerage in the United States at the time to the brink of bankruptcy.

Unexpected one-off events are not the only risk forex traders face. Here are seven other reasons retail traders looking to get rich trading the forex market are at risk.

Large-scale foreign exchange transactions such as George Soros's run on the pound netting him over $1 billion are the exception rather than the rule.

Excessive Leverage

While currencies can fluctuate wildly wild swings like the aforementioned Swiss franc are uncommon. For example the big move in EUR/USD from 1.20 to 1.10 in a week is still less than 10%. On the other hand stocks can be easily traded A single-day rise or fall of 20% or more. But the beauty of forex trading lies in the huge leverage offered by forex brokers which can magnify gains (and losses).

A trader shorting $5,000 worth of EUR/USD at 1.20 and closing the position at 1.10 would make a decent profit of $500 or 8.33% If the trader uses the maximum leverage allowed in the US of 50:1 (ignoring transaction costs and commissions) the profit is $25,000 or 416.67%.3

Of course if a trader goes long EUR at 1.20 uses 50:1 leverage and exits the trade at 1.10 the potential loss would be $25,000. In some overseas jurisdictions leverage ratios may be as high as 200:1 or more. Because excessive leverage is the biggest risk factor in retail forex Trade regulators in some countries are cracking down on it.

Asymmetric Risk to Reward

Seasoned forex traders keep their losses small and offset those losses with substantial gains when their currency calls are proven correct. However most retail traders take the opposite route by making tiny profits on multiple positions and then sticking to losing trades for too long and incurring huge loss. It can also result in losses exceeding your initial investment.

Platform or System Malfunction

Imagine if you had a large position and couldn't close it due to a platform glitch or system failure this could be anything from a power outage to an overloaded internet or a computer crash. This category also includes unusually volatile times when orders such as Because stop loss doesn't work. For example before the surge in the Swiss franc on January 15 2015 many traders placed tight stop losses on their short Swiss franc positions. However these measures proved ineffective as liquidity dried up even as everyone stepped up to close their short CHF positions.

No Information Edge

The largest FX trading banks have a large number of trading operations that are connected to the world of money and have informational advantages (such as commercial FX flows and covert government intervention) that retail traders cannot.

Currency Volatility

Recall the example of the Swiss franc. High leverage means that trading funds can run out quickly during periods of unusual currency fluctuations. These events can happen suddenly and affect the market before most individual traders have a chance to react.

OTC Market

The foreign exchange market is an over-the-counter market not as centralized and regulated as the stock or futures market. It also means that foreign exchange transactions are not guaranteed by any type of clearing house which can lead to counterparty risk. 4

$6 Trillion Daily

While the foreign exchange over-the-counter market is decentralized it is massive with more than $6 trillion worth of currencies traded every day according to the 2019 Central Bank's Triennial Foreign Exchange Survey. 5

Fraud and Market Manipulation

Fraud cases occasionally occur in the foreign exchange market such as the Secure Investment case which disappeared in 2014 with more than $1 billion in investor funds. 6 Market manipulation of foreign exchange rates is also rampant and involves some of the largest players. Take May 2015 as an example 5 Major banks were fined nearly $6 billion between 2007 and 2013 for trying to manipulate currency bringing the five banks’ combined fines to nearly $9 billion.

A common way market movers manipulate the market is through a strategy called stop-loss hunting. These large organizations will coordinate price declines or increases to where they expect retail traders to place stop-loss orders. when these are automatically triggered by the price Moving a forex position is sold it can create a waterfall effect of selling when each stop loss is triggered and can generate huge profits for market movers.

Is Trading Forex Profitable?

Forex trading can be profitable but it is important to consider the time frame. It is easy to profit in the short term measured in days or weeks for example. However to be profitable for many years when you have a lot of cash to draw on and you have a risk management system. Many retail traders cannot survive forex trading for months or years.

Is Forex High Risk?

Although Forex trades are limited to a percentage of a single pip they are very risky. The amount of money needed to make a decent profit in Forex is huge so many traders have high leverage. Hopefully their leverage will be profitable but often it's not leverage Positions multiply losses.

Is Forex Riskier Than Stocks?

Forex trading is a different way of trading than most people trade stocks. Most stock traders sometimes buy stocks and hold them for years whereas forex trading is done hourly and daily. The time frame is shorter and the price action is more pronounced due to leverage. A 1% move in stocks is not much but a 1% move in a currency pair is quite large.

The Bottom Line

If you still want to try Forex trading it is prudent to use some protections: limit your leverage keep tight stop losses and use a reputable Forex broker. While the odds are still against you at least these measures can help you level the playing field for some degree.

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